Home Enterprise Backblaze Q1 2025 Drive Stats: Reliability Holds Steady Amid Incremental Shifts

Backblaze Q1 2025 Drive Stats: Reliability Holds Steady Amid Incremental Shifts

by Lyle Smith
Seagate SkyHawk AI 20TB HDD

Backblaze has released DriveStats, the definitive Q1 2025 report on enterprise hard drive health.

Backblaze released its latest DriveStats report for the first quarter of 2025, offering another detailed look at hard drives’ reliability across its massive cloud storage infrastructure. With over 317,000 drives monitored and well over 27 million drive days logged between January and March, the data shows an interesting picture of ongoing performance trends, emerging concerns, and the durability of aging hardware. Check out our coverage on Backblaze’s full 2024 Drive Stats report for a deep dive into last year’s performance trends.

Backblaze Q1 2025 Hard Drive Failure Rates 

Backblaze’s reporting only includes drives that meet specific criteria: over 100 units deployed and more than 10,000 drive days during the quarter. Additionally, test drives and drives lacking sufficient data are excluded to ensure statistical validity. This quarter, 593 drives were left out for these reasons.

Here’s the full rundown of the Backblaze hard drive failure rates for Q1 2025:

MFG Model Size (TB) Drive Count Avg Age (Months) Drive Days Failures AFR
HGST HMS5C4040ALE640 4 264 96.4 22,302 0 0%
HGST HMS5C4040BLE640 4 4,121 97.9 324,039 3 0.34%
HGST HUH728080ALE600 8 1,084 82.8 97,312 3 1.13%
HGST HUH721212ALE600 12 2,608 64.0 234,542 2 0.31%
HGST HUH721212ALE604 12 13,435 45.3 1,197,864 93 2.83%
HGST HUH721212ALN604 12 10,195 69.1 911,546 124 4.97%
Seagate ST8000DM002 8 9,078 100.9 814,279 51 2.29%
Seagate ST8000NM000A 8 247 26.0 22,225 0 0%
Seagate ST8000NM0055 8 13,533 89.6 1,212,798 109 3.28%
Seagate ST10000NM0086 10 1,036 87.0 92,767 12 4.72%
Seagate ST12000NM0007 12 1,038 64.0 92,483 24 9.47%
Seagate ST12000NM0008 12 19,145 58.7 1,714,395 104 2.21%
Seagate ST12000NM000J 12 918 9.3 74,446 0 0%
Seagate ST12000NM001G 12 13,214 49.4 1,186,197 26 0.80%
Seagate ST14000NM000J 14 277 9.9 22,369 0 0%
Seagate ST14000NM001G 14 10,600 48.7 951,868 37 1.42%
Seagate ST14000NM0138 14 1,322 50.7 117,692 22 6.82%
Seagate ST16000NM001G 16 33,817 30.4 3,029,485 41 0.49%
Seagate ST16000NM002J 16 461 27.4 41,431 1 0.88%
Seagate ST24000NM002H 24 3,607 2.3 230,406 8 1.11%
Toshiba MG07ACA14TA 14 37,705 52.3 3,385,931 133 1.43%
Toshiba MG07ACA18TEY 14 834 34.7 70,377 1 1.04%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TA 16 40,273 20.4 3,616,128 94 0.95%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TE 16 5,925 40.1 534,001 10 1.58%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TEY 16 5,174 38.9 464,361 19 1.49%
Toshiba MG10ACA20TE 20 10,814 3.9 633,439 11 0.63%
WDC WUH721414ALE6L4 14 8,615 49.9 719,091 9 0.99%
WDC WUH721816ALE6L0 16 3,016 38.7 271,099 11 1.48%
WDC WUH721818ALE6L0 16 26,529 23.3 2,383,322 35 0.54%
WDC WUH722222ALE6L4 22 34,857 7.3 2,870,372 56 0.71%
Totals 27,388,225 1,064 1.42%

Notable Q1 2025 Highlights

Aging 4TB Drives Still Going Strong

Despite their gradual phase-out, older 4TB drives continue to perform impressively. The HGST HMS5C4040ALE640 recorded zero failures, while its counterpart, the HMS5C4040BLE640, posted a modest annualized failure rate (AFR) of 0.34%. These results demonstrate the continued reliability of smaller-capacity drives even as the focus shifts to higher-density models.

High-Capacity Drives

Backblaze is keeping a close eye on drives in the 20TB-and-above category. While Seagate’s 24TB model (ST24000NM002H) saw its first recorded failures (eight in total), its 1.00% AFR remains within acceptable limits. Encouragingly, the entire 20TB+ fleet averaged a 0.72% AFR, outperforming the overall average and suggesting strong reliability at the upper end of the capacity spectrum.

Zero-Failure Standouts

Four drive models went the entire quarter without a single failure:

  • HGST 4TB (HMS5C4040ALE640)
  • Seagate 8TB (ST8000NM000A)
  • Seagate 12TB (ST12000NM000J)
  • Seagate 14TB (ST14000NM000J)

Three of these models repeated their perfect performance from Q4 2024, with only the Seagate 12TB drive newly joining the zero-failure club.

A Slight Uptick in Overall Failure Rates

The failure rate increased slightly to 1.42%, up from 1.35% in the previous quarter. While still relatively low, the increase was driven in part by higher AFRs in a few repeat offenders:

  • Seagate 10TB (ST10000NM0086) improved slightly from 5.72% to 4.72%.
  • HGST 12TB (HUH721212ALN604) remained high at 4.97%.
  • Seagate 12TB (ST12000NM0007) worsened significantly, jumping to 9.47%.
  • Seagate 14TB (ST14000NM0138) also rose sharply, reaching 6.82%.

These figures indicate some ongoing reliability challenges with specific models, even as most drive pools remain stable.

Backblaze Lifetime Hard Drive Failure Rates 

Backblaze also shared an update on lifetime hard drive failure rates as of the end of Q1 2025. This dataset provides a broader view of drive reliability over the long term, aggregating data across hundreds of millions of drive days.

The lifetime statistics include only drive models with at least 500 units deployed and more than 100,000 total drive days, ensuring consistency and statistical reliability in the analysis. These figures help identify quarterly anomalies and overall performance trends, longevity, and potential weak points across different models and manufacturers.

Below is the rundown of lifetime failure rates:

Mfg Model Size (TB) Drive Count Avg Age (Months) Drive Days Failures AFR
HGST HMS5C4040BLE640 4 4,121 82.7 4,112,015 447 0.40%
HGST HUH728080ALE600 8 1,084 77.6 2,873,103 90 1.14%
HGST HUH721212ALE600 12 2,608 63.0 5,164,524 81 0.57%
HGST HUH721212ALE604 12 13,435 44.6 19,179,335 763 1.45%
HGST HUH721212ALN604 12 10,195 67.1 23,327,671 1,314 2.06%
Seagate ST8000DM002 8 9,078 95.6 30,013,992 1,250 1.52%
Seagate ST8000NM0055 8 13,533 84.5 40,297,357 2,183 1.98%
Seagate ST10000NM0086 10 1,036 80.8 3,205,356 250 2.85%
Seagate ST12000NM0007 12 1,038 31.3 36,964,160 2,225 2.23%
Seagate ST12000NM0008 12 19,145 56.6 36,185,545 1,955 1.97%
Seagate ST12000NM000J 12 918 9.2 262,834 17 2.36%
Seagate ST12000NM001G 12 13,214 48.5 20,289,453 545 0.98%
Seagate ST14000NM001G 14 10,600 47.5 16,183,729 630 1.42%
Seagate ST14000NM0138 14 1,322 44.9 2,306,562 377 5.97%
Seagate ST16000NM001G 16 33,817 30.1 31,614,753 635 0.73%
Seagate ST24000NM002H 24 3,607 2.3 248,406 7 1.03%
Toshiba MG07ACA14TA 14 37,705 51.3 61,405,563 1,721 1.02%
Toshiba MG07ACA14TEY 14 834 33.9 892,848 35 1.43%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TA 16 40,273 18.8 23,350,609 743 1.16%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TE 16 5,925 39.2 7,333,478 248 1.23%
Toshiba MG08ACA16TEY 16 5,174 38.2 6,221,237 194 1.14%
Toshiba MG10ACA20TE 20 10,814 3.8 1,265,700 26 0.75%
WDC WUH721414ALE6L4 14 8,615 49.5 1,398,175 175 0.48%
WDC WUH721816ALE6L0 16 3,016 38.3 3,575,753 61 0.62%
WDC WUH721818ALE6L0 16 26,529 23.1 18,772,389 189 0.37%
WDC WUH722222ALE6L4 22 34,857 7.3 7,736,601 197 0.93%
Totals 452,991,106 16,388 1.32%

Notable lifetime failure rate highlights

Among the most notable findings in the updated lifetime drive failure rates are improvements in annualized failure rates (AFRs) for a few key models. These reductions, shown in the latest table, indicate statistically significant reliability gains and a positive development in long-term drive performance.

Key Models with Improved AFRs
Model Size AFR (2025) AFR (2024) Change
Seagate ST12000NM000J 12TB 2.36% 3.29% –28.27%
Toshiba MG07ACA14TEY 14TB 1.43% 1.52% –5.92%
Toshiba MG10ACA20TE 20TB 0.75% 0.87% –13.79%
WDC WUH722222ALE6L4 22TB 0.93% 1.06% –12.26%

The Seagate and Toshiba 14TB models maintained nearly identical failures, but more drive days lowered their AFR. The drop for the Toshiba 20TB and WDC 22TB came despite a larger fleet, suggesting better performance from newly added units or a stabilizing failure rate as deployment scales.

Key Models with Noticeably Worsened AFRs

While most drives held steady or improved, a few models showed statistically significant increases in lifetime failure rates:

Model Size AFR (2025) AFR (2024) Change %
HGST HUH721212ALE604 12TB 1.45% 1.36% +6.62%
HGST HUH721212ALN604 12TB 2.06% 1.94% +6.19%
WDC WUH721414ALE6L4 14TB 0.48% 0.45% +6.67%
WDC WUH721816ALE6L0 16TB 0.62% 0.55% +12.73%
WDC WUH721818ALE6L4 16TB 0.37% 0.34% +8.82%

While technically showing increases, the WDC drives remain among the top performers overall. Even small percentage shifts stand out due to the large sample sizes and low baseline failure rates.

The two HGST 12TB models, however, are worth closer attention. The ALN604 model is aging, with an average drive age of over five years, aligning with the expected uptick in failures as drives reach end-of-life. The ALE604 model is younger and has seen a modest rise in AFR. It’s not yet alarming, but could become more significant if the trend persists.

Drive Stats Gets a Back-End Boost with Snowflake Migration

As part of the Q1 2025 Drive Stats release, Backblaze rolled out a behind-the-scenes upgrade to its long-running data collection process. The team has migrated its Drive Stats dataset to Snowflake, streamlining what was once a labor-intensive workflow reliant on manual queries and desktop-based tools. This transition simplifies current reporting and lays the groundwork for more scalable and efficient analysis. While the core methodology remains consistent for continuity, this modernization marks a key step toward broader plans for the future of Drive Stats.

For a complete look at the Drive Stats data, visit Backblaze’s official Drive Stats page.

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